Rain in Carwoola

A friend recently enquired if the reason rain kept missing this area was because they went to the wrong Church.  I made some suggestions about how to adjust his congregational practices but as it hasn't yet got to Sunday the past pattern appeared to be continuing yesterday.

Here is the BoM radar image at 1548 on 9 January.  All moving East and we didn't get a drop out of this.
 The Bureau issued a specific Severe Thunderstorm warning at this time.  Here is the image showing the two storms bracketing us (at the blue cross).  As I said, not a drop!
Later in the day Weatherzone radar showed a massive storm covering a fair proportion of Central NSW.  I checked the local radar and it looked as though it was going to the North of us.
 However about 2230 I was awoken by the rain pounding down,  It only lasted for about 10 minutes, during which we received 6.8mm.  My weatherstation reported the rate as 101mm/hr, which is the 25th highest rate recorded.

The next day a few folks reported what they recorded: the variability indicates we were right on the edge.
After the storm last night we had got  9.6mm for the year and were 0.2mm in front of last year.  I have created a file that compares rainfall to date (by day) with historic records of that function.  Using that to extrapolate for the whole year (a dodgy idea, but its amusing) we can expect 291mm for the year (ie we are still way behind average).  Here is a graph which shows something I can't quite fathom yet.


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